Harvard CAPS/Harris Ballot: Trump’s Approval at 47%, Leads Biden by 54%

48% OF VOTERS SAY INFLATION IS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE TO THEM PERSONALLY

54% OF VOTERS SAY TRUMP’S ACTIONS IN WASHINGTON, D.C. ARE JUSTIFIED AND NECESSARY

66% OF VOTERS WANT LAWMAKERS TO PRESSURE THE ADMINISTRATION FOR MORE INFORMATION ON EPSTEIN

52% OF VOTERS SATISFIED WITH TRUMP’S NEGOTIATIONS ON THE WAR IN UKRAINE, A 5 PT. INCREASE FROM LAST MONTH

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Aug. 25, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) right this moment launched the outcomes of the August Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a month-to-month collaboration between the Heart for American Political Research at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Ballot and HarrisX.

President Donald Trump’s approval ranking is at 47%, with highest approval amongst Republican, male, white, 25-44 y.o., and rural voters. Trump’s job approval is highest on combating crime in U.S. cities (51%), immigration (50%), and returning America to its values (50%), and lowest on dealing with inflation (41%) and tariffs and commerce coverage (41%). This month’s ballot additionally coated public opinion on the economic system and jobs, crime, the Epstein case, conflicts within the Center East, and the battle in Ukraine. Obtain the important thing outcomes here.

“Trump has actually solidified his political base and is sustaining each level of it,” stated Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris ballot and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “He’s engaged on lots of initiatives that may take time to pan out – however until there may be peace in one in all these overseas conflicts or a transparent consensus in regards to the economic system, the nation will doubtless stay in a partisan rut.”

INFLATION AND AFFORDABILITY REMAINS TOP ISSUE FOR VOTERS

• 34% of voters proceed to single out worth will increase, inflation, and affordability as a very powerful challenge dealing with the nation right this moment (+3 pts., July 2025). 26% of voters say it’s immigration (-3).
• 38% of voters say the economic system is heading in the right direction, secure from final month.
• 42% of voters say their private monetary scenario is getting worse, significantly amongst Democrats, Independents, ladies, and Hispanic voters.
• Amongst key political figures, Trump has the best favorability at 46% (-2 web unfavorable), adopted by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (+7 web favorable). Voters have a extra unfavorable view of Elon Musk (-15 web unfavorable) and President Joe Biden (-14 web unfavorable).

CONTINUED MAJORITY SUPPORT FOR TRUMP’S POLICIES BUT WEAKNESS AROUND INFLATION AND FOREIGN POLICY

• 14 out of 15 of Trump’s insurance policies proceed to obtain majority help, along with his hottest insurance policies being reducing prescription drug costs for Medicare recipients and low-income sufferers (86%), deporting unlawful immigrants who’ve dedicated crimes (75%), and eliminating fraud and waste in authorities expenditures (73%).
• 54% of voters say Trump is doing a greater job than Joe Biden did as president (+3 pts., July 2025).
• 62% of voters say Democrats ought to take extra of a wait-and-see angle towards Trump’s actions (Democrats: 35%; Republicans: 85%; Independents: 66%).
• 55% of voters say Trump’s insurance policies will enhance inflation (Democrats: 83%; Republicans: 33%; Independents: 51%), and 55% say his tariffs are harming the economic system.
• 59% of voters say Trump is not going to resolve the Ukraine battle, and 64% of voters say Trump is not going to resolve the Israel-Hamas battle (+5).

MIXED PERCEPTIONS ON JOBS AND JOB REPORT RELIABILITY

• 51% of voters say Trump’s insurance policies are resulting in extra jobs within the nation (+2). Voters are equally break up on whether or not his insurance policies are strengthening the economic system (51%) and resulting in extra funding within the nation (52%).
• Voters are break up 50-50 on whether or not job numbers have been dependable. 59% of Democrats and Independents say they haven’t been dependable, whereas 65% of Republicans say they’re dependable.
• 53% of voters say the firing of the pinnacle of the Bureau of Labor Statistics was politically motivated.
• 54% of voters say the U.S. is at the moment not in a recession (-2), although 58% of Democrats proceed to consider the U.S. is in a recession.

VOTERS VIEW AMERICAN CITIES AS UNSAFE, APPROVE OF TRUMP’S ACTIONS IN WASHINGTON, D.C.

• 54% of voters say Trump’s actions in Washington, D.C. are justified and obligatory (Democrats: 28%; Republicans: 85%; Independents: 47%).
• 40% of voters, a plurality, say crime within the U.S. is growing.
• 56% of voters say typical giant American cities are unsafe, particularly New York Metropolis (63%) and Los Angeles (62%). A majority of voters (55%) say the present stage of crime in D.C. is about the identical as different components of the nation.
• 54% of voters help the Trump administration declaring a criminal offense emergency in D.C. and the deployment of the Nationwide Guard, however 53% of voters oppose Trump’s use of his presidential authority to take over native police.
• 54% of voters say Trump’s actions in D.C. are a distraction from different unpopular insurance policies and private issues.
• 73% of voters say Trump’s deployment of the Nationwide Guard in D.C. is a sign he’ll carry out related actions in different cities sooner or later, together with a majority throughout political events.

MAJORITY OF VOTERS WANT TRANSPARENCY IN THE EPSTEIN CASE, SAYING IT WILL AFFECT THEIR OPINION OF TRUMP

• 65% of voters say transparency within the Epstein case is necessary to their opinion of Trump (Democrats: 76%; Republicans: 60%; Independents: 59%).
• 72% of voters say they’re acquainted with the Jeffrey Epstein case, and 63% have heard of the Division of Justice and FBI memo of findings launched in July 2025.
• 42% of voters say Trump has dealt with the Epstein case poorly, with a plurality of voters saying the identical for FBI officers and Lawyer Basic Pam Bondi.
• 79% of voters say the Epstein case doubtless entails a cover-up by highly effective elites, together with a majority throughout political events.
• 66% of voters say lawmakers ought to strain the Trump administration to launch extra details about the Epstein case (Democrats: 85%; Republicans: 47%; Independents: 67%).
• Voters belief unbiased media (e.g. journalists or podcasts) essentially the most in relation to full transparency on the Epstein case (52%) over the FBI (47%), DOJ (45%), mainstream information shops (44%), Trump (39%), and Congress (39%).

VOTERS BLAME HAMAS FOR FAMINE IN GAZA, CONTINUING TO SUPPORT ISRAEL IN CONFLICT

• 74% of voters proceed to help Israel over Hamas within the Israel-Hamas battle (-3). 51% of voters disapprove of Israel’s conduct throughout the battle, whereas 77% disapprove of Hamas’ conduct.
• 53% of voters help Trump’s dealing with of the Israel-Hamas battle so far.
• 69% of voters say there’s a famine in Gaza, together with a majority throughout age teams and political events. 61% consider Hamas is liable for the famine (Democrats: 50%; Republicans: 74%; Independents: 60%).
• Voters are break up on whether or not they consider criticism of Israel is motivated extra by concern for Palestinian human rights (51%) or antisemitism (49%), in addition to whether or not they consider Israel is committing a genocide in Gaza (50-50).
• 57% of voters help the U.S. offering offensive army help to Israel (Democrats: 44%; Republicans: 74%; Independents: 51%).
• 85% of voters say the U.S. ought to proceed to take all actions obligatory to forestall Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon (+5). 67% favor a negotiated deal that completely blocks nuclear weapons improvement.

TRUMP GIVEN CREDIT FOR HIS EFFORTS TO END WAR IN UKRAINE

• 66% of voters help Trump’s efforts to finish the battle in Ukraine. 52% say they’re glad with how Trump is managing negotiations to finish the battle between Ukraine and Russia (+5).
• 57% of voters agree Trump deserves lots of credit score for pulling off these conferences no matter whether or not he succeeds (Democrats: 31%; Republicans: 87%; Independents: 52%). 60% say Biden was not able to pulling off such conferences with world leaders.
• 60% of voters say the assembly with Russian President Vladimir Putin was unsuccessful in advancing peace, whereas 51% of voters say the assembly with Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European leaders was profitable.
• 67% of voters say Putin is taking part in video games and stalling with the U.S. and the West (-6). 67% say Zelenskyy genuinely needs to finish the battle (+6).
• 67% of voters say the Trump administration ought to proceed to supply weaponry to Ukraine and impose additional financial sanctions on Russia (+2), together with a majority throughout political events. 69% of voters say Ukraine ought to obtain direct safety ensures from the U.S. if it makes concessions to finish the battle (+4).

The August Harvard CAPS / Harris ballot survey was carried out on-line inside america on August 20-21, 2025, amongst 2,025 registered voters by The Harris Ballot and HarrisX. Comply with the Harvard CAPS / Harris ballot podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and different podcast platforms. 

About The Harris Ballot & HarrisX

The Harris Ballot is a world consulting and market analysis agency that strives to disclose the genuine values of contemporary society to encourage leaders to create a greater tomorrow. It really works with shoppers in three major areas: constructing twenty-first-century company repute, crafting model technique and efficiency monitoring, and incomes natural media via public relations analysis. One of many longest-running surveys within the U.S., The Harris Ballot has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now a part of Stagwell, the challenger holding firm constructed to rework advertising.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market analysis and knowledge analytics firm that conducts multi-method analysis within the U.S. and over 40 nations all over the world on behalf of Fortune 100 corporations, public coverage establishments, international leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was essentially the most correct pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

In regards to the Harvard Heart for American Political Research
The Heart for American Political Research (CAPS) is dedicated to and fosters the interdisciplinary research of U.S. politics. Ruled by a bunch of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists throughout the School of Arts and Sciences at Harvard College, CAPS drives dialogue, analysis, public outreach, and pedagogy about all elements of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge analysis utilizing a wide range of methodologies, together with historic evaluation, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it typically cooperates with different Harvard facilities to help analysis coaching and encourage cross-national analysis about america in comparative and international contexts. Extra data at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

Contact:
Carrie Hsu
pr@stagwellglobal.com

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SOURCE Stagwell Inc.